Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · JIT Recycle Ink Stadium
Ventforet Kofu
20th · 12 pts2–1FULL TIME
Tochigi City
18th · 12 pts23% Ventforet
22% Draw
55% Tochigi
OUR PICK
Tochigi City to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.95
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.30X4.5521.83
Goals 2.5Over1.64Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.67
GG
60%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Ventforet KofuTochigi City0.8Goals per game1.5
2.0Conceded per game1.8
0.86Points per game0.86
21%Win rate21%
-17Goal difference-4
5Form, last 5 (pts)2
Ventforet Kofu form
DDLLWA Imabari1–1
A Oita Trinita1–1
H Yokohama FC0–3
A Iwaki5–0
H Tochigi City2–1
Tochigi City form
LLDDLH Iwaki1–3
A Shonan Bellmare2–1
H Fujieda MYFC2–2
H Yokohama FC1–1
A Ventforet Kofu2–1
Head to head
1
Ventforet
0
Draw
0
Tochigi
Oct 2026Ventforet Kofu – Tochigi City2–1
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Tochigi City clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.20 for Ventforet Kofu, 1.95 for Tochigi City), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ventforet Kofu sit 20th on 12 points; Tochigi City are 18th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.