Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
ITASerie A · Matchday 9Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo
Venezia
20th · 3 pts0–2FULL TIME
Inter
2nd · 25 pts14% Venezia
17% Draw
69% Inter
OUR PICK
Inter to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.44
Expected goals
1.00 – 2.46
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X217.39X5.8121.44
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.16
X2
86%
Season stats
VeneziaInter0.6Goals per game2.6
2.0Conceded per game1.3
0.30Points per game2.50
10%Win rate80%
-14Goal difference13
3Form, last 5 (pts)12
Venezia form
LLLWLA Como1–0
H Inter0–2
A Genoa1–0
H Napoli1–0
A Atalanta3–1
Inter form
LWWWWA AC Milan3–1
A Venezia0–2
H Fiorentina2–1
H Shakhtar Donetsk1–0
A Bologna1–3
Head to head
0
Venezia
0
Draw
5
Inter
Oct 2026Venezia – Inter0–2
Dec 2025Inter – Venezia5–1
Jan 2025Venezia – Inter0–1
Nov 2024Inter – Venezia1–0
Jan 2022Inter – Venezia2–1
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Napoli9+614
8Bologna10+114
9Juventus9+114
10Torino10-213
Match preview
Our model makes Inter clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.00 for Venezia, 2.46 for Inter), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Venezia sit 20th on 3 points; Inter are 2nd on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.