Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Yurtec Stadium Sendai
Vegalta Sendai
1st · 27 pts0–0FULL TIME
Tokushima Vortis
14th · 17 pts59% Vegalta
24% Draw
16% Tokushima
OUR PICK
Vegalta Sendai to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.71
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.68X4.0926.23
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.71
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.69
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.69
NG
59%
Double chance@1.19
1X
84%
Season stats
Vegalta SendaiTokushima Vortis1.6Goals per game0.8
0.9Conceded per game1.0
1.93Points per game1.21
57%Win rate36%
10Goal difference-3
7Form, last 5 (pts)4
Vegalta Sendai form
DLLWDA Kataller Toyama0–0
H Omiya Ardija1–2
A Albirex Niigata2–1
H Imabari3–1
H Tokushima Vortis0–0
Tokushima Vortis form
DLWLDA Montedio Yamagata0–0
H Yokohama FC0–1
A Fujieda MYFC0–1
H Vanraure Hachinohe0–1
A Vegalta Sendai0–0
Head to head
0
Vegalta
1
Draw
4
Tokushima
Oct 2026Vegalta Sendai – Tokushima Vortis0–0
Aug 2025Vegalta Sendai – Tokushima Vortis0–2
Feb 2025Tokushima Vortis – Vegalta Sendai1–0
Jul 2024Tokushima Vortis – Vegalta Sendai2–0
Jun 2024Tokushima Vortis – Vegalta Sendai1–0
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Vegalta Sendai clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.68 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.63 for Vegalta Sendai, 0.71 for Tokushima Vortis), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vegalta Sendai sit 1st on 27 points; Tokushima Vortis are 14th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.