Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
77%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Yurtec Stadium Sendai
Vegalta Sendai
1st · 27 pts1–2FULL TIME
Omiya Ardija
5th · 24 pts53% Vegalta
24% Draw
24% Omiya
OUR PICK
Vegalta Sendai to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.09
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.90X4.2224.21
Goals 2.5Over1.86Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Vegalta SendaiOmiya Ardija1.6Goals per game1.8
0.9Conceded per game1.2
1.93Points per game1.71
57%Win rate43%
10Goal difference8
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
Vegalta Sendai form
LLWDWH Omiya Ardija1–2
A Albirex Niigata2–1
H Imabari3–1
H Tokushima Vortis0–0
A Montedio Yamagata0–1
Omiya Ardija form
WDLLWA Vegalta Sendai1–2
H Yokohama FC2–2
H Kataller Toyama0–3
A Sagan Tosu2–1
H Vanraure Hachinohe3–1
Head to head
1
Vegalta
1
Draw
3
Omiya
Oct 2026Vegalta Sendai – Omiya Ardija1–2
Oct 2025Vegalta Sendai – Omiya Ardija1–2
May 2025Omiya Ardija – Vegalta Sendai3–0
Aug 2023Vegalta Sendai – Omiya Ardija1–0
May 2023Omiya Ardija – Vegalta Sendai1–1
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Vegalta Sendai slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.74 for Vegalta Sendai, 1.09 for Omiya Ardija), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vegalta Sendai sit 1st on 27 points; Omiya Ardija are 5th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.