Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
BRASerie A · Matchday 30Saturday, 10 October 2026 · São Januário
Vasco DA Gama
13th · 38 pts0–0FULL TIME
Remo
19th · 29 pts49% Vasco
24% Draw
27% Remo
OUR PICK
Vasco DA Gama to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.03
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.20
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.03X4.1923.73
Goals 2.5Over1.80Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Vasco DA GamaRemo1.3Goals per game1.1
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.19Points per game0.88
31%Win rate18%
-9Goal difference-15
7Form, last 5 (pts)6
Vasco DA Gama form
LLWLLA Palmeiras1–0
H Flamengo1–4
H Corinthians3–2
H Boca Juniors1–3
A Sao Paulo1–0
Remo form
WLDDDH Botafogo2–1
A Cruzeiro1–0
H RB Bragantino1–1
A Vasco DA Gama0–0
H Gremio1–1
Head to head
1
Vasco
3
Draw
1
Remo
Oct 2026Vasco DA Gama – Remo0–0
Apr 2026Remo – Vasco DA Gama1–1
Nov 2021Vasco DA Gama – Remo2–2
Aug 2021Remo – Vasco DA Gama2–1
Apr 2016Vasco DA Gama – Remo2–1
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8RB Bragantino34+547
9Santos34+147
10Sao Paulo33043
Match preview
Our model makes Vasco DA Gama slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.03 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.71 for Vasco DA Gama, 1.20 for Remo), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vasco DA Gama sit 13th on 38 points; Remo are 19th on 29.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.