Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
73%
HUNNB I · Matchday 9Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Illovszky Rudolf Stadion
Vasas
7th · 16 pts1–1FULL TIME
Kisvarda FC
10th · 12 pts51% Vasas
25% Draw
24% Kisvarda
OUR PICK
Vasas to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.58 – 0.99
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.96X3.9724.22
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.90
Both scoreGG1.89NG2.00
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.90
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@2.00
NG
50%
Double chance@1.31
1X
76%
Season stats
VasasKisvarda FC1.7Goals per game1.0
1.4Conceded per game1.2
1.33Points per game1.00
33%Win rate17%
3Goal difference-2
5Form, last 5 (pts)3
Vasas form
DWLLDA Gyori ETO FC2–2
A Szentlőrinc SE3–4
H Paks0–2
A MTK Budapest1–0
H Kisvarda FC1–1
Kisvarda FC form
LLDDDA Budapest Honved1–0
A Pécsi MFC4–2
A Zalaegerszegi TE1–1
H Ferencvarosi TC1–1
A Vasas1–1
Head to head
2
Vasas
2
Draw
1
Kisvarda
Oct 2026Vasas – Kisvarda FC1–1
Jul 2026Vasas – Kisvarda FC3–1
Feb 2025Kisvarda FC – Vasas0–0
Jul 2024Vasas – Kisvarda FC3–1
May 2023Kisvarda FC – Vasas2–1
NB I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Gyori ETO FC12+722
2Puskas Academy12+221
3Ferencvarosi TC11+1020
4Debreceni VSC12+419
5Ujpest12+318
6Paks12+117
7Vasas12+316
8Budapest Honved11-313
9Zalaegerszegi TE12-613
10Kisvarda FC12-212
Match preview
Our model makes Vasas slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.96 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.58 for Vasas, 0.99 for Kisvarda FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vasas sit 7th on 16 points; Kisvarda FC are 10th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.