Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 29Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Påskbergsvallen
Varbergs BoIS FC
3rd · 48 pts2–2FULL TIME
Ljungskile SK
11th · 34 pts53% Varbergs
24% Draw
23% Ljungskile
OUR PICK
Varbergs BoIS FC to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.04
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.89X4.1624.32
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.89NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.89
GG
53%
Double chance@1.30
1X
77%
Season stats
Varbergs BoIS FCLjungskile SK1.7Goals per game1.3
1.3Conceded per game1.4
1.66Points per game1.17
45%Win rate28%
11Goal difference-1
7Form, last 5 (pts)6
Varbergs BoIS FC form
DDDDH Ljungskile SK2–2
A Landskrona BoIS1–1
H Helsingborg0–0
A Ostersunds FK1–1
Ljungskile SK form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Varbergs
0
Draw
0
Ljungskile
These sides haven't met recently.
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Oddevold29+1245
6Landskrona BoIS28+1344
7Osters IF28+142
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Varbergs BoIS FC slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.70 for Varbergs BoIS FC, 1.04 for Ljungskile SK), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd on 48 points; Ljungskile SK are 11th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.