Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 27Monday, 19 October 2026 · Påskbergsvallen
Varbergs BoIS FC
3rd · 48 pts0–0FULL TIME
Helsingborg
12th · 32 pts62% Varbergs
20% Draw
18% Helsingborg
OUR PICK
Varbergs BoIS FC to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.13
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.61X5.1025.48
Goals 2.5Over1.53Under2.70
Both scoreGG1.66NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.66
GG
60%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
Varbergs BoIS FCHelsingborg1.7Goals per game1.3
1.3Conceded per game1.7
1.66Points per game1.14
45%Win rate29%
11Goal difference-11
7Form, last 5 (pts)3
Varbergs BoIS FC form
DDDDH Ljungskile SK2–2
A Landskrona BoIS1–1
H Helsingborg0–0
A Ostersunds FK1–1
Helsingborg form
LDDLDA Osters IF3–0
H Ljungskile SK1–1
A Varbergs BoIS FC0–0
A IK brage2–0
H Norrby IF0–0
Head to head
3
Varbergs
1
Draw
1
Helsingborg
Oct 2026Varbergs BoIS FC – Helsingborg0–0
May 2026Helsingborg – Varbergs BoIS FC1–3
Jul 2025Helsingborg – Varbergs BoIS FC1–2
May 2025Varbergs BoIS FC – Helsingborg1–0
Aug 2024Varbergs BoIS FC – Helsingborg0–3
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Oddevold29+1245
6Landskrona BoIS28+1344
7Osters IF28+142
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Varbergs BoIS FC clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.61 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.23 for Varbergs BoIS FC, 1.13 for Helsingborg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd on 48 points; Helsingborg are 12th on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.