Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 32Thursday, 29 October 2026 · BC Place
Vancouver Whitecaps
1st · 58 pts4–1FULL TIME
San Diego
12th · 38 pts68% Vancouver
17% Draw
14% San
OUR PICK
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Model probability 68% · fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.46 – 1.05
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.47X5.7326.94
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.68NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.68
GG
59%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
Vancouver WhitecapsSan Diego2.1Goals per game1.7
1.0Conceded per game1.9
1.81Points per game1.15
53%Win rate27%
34Goal difference-5
8Form, last 5 (pts)6
Vancouver Whitecaps form
WLWDDH San Diego4–1
A Colorado Rapids1–0
A Austin1–2
A St. Louis City0–0
A Los Angeles FC1–1
San Diego form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Vancouver
0
Draw
0
San
These sides haven't met recently.
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders32+143
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model makes Vancouver Whitecaps clear favourites, giving them a 68% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.46 for Vancouver Whitecaps, 1.05 for San Diego), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st on 58 points; San Diego are 12th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.