Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 25Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Intility Arena
Valerenga
10th · 29 pts19:15KICK-OFF WAT
Tromso
5th · 40 pts35% Valerenga
22% Draw
43% Tromso
OUR PICK
Tromso to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.32
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.83
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.90X4.4722.32
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
67%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
ValerengaTromso1.6Goals per game1.8
1.9Conceded per game1.4
1.21Points per game1.67
33%Win rate46%
-7Goal difference9
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
Valerenga form
No recent matches.
Tromso form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Valerenga
0
Draw
0
Tromso
These sides haven't met recently.
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde24+2143
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Tromso24+940
6Lillestrom24+239
7Sarpsborg 08 FF24-531
8KFUM Oslo24-930
9Brann24+229
10Valerenga24-729
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Valerenga 35%, the draw 22%, Tromso 43%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.32 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.62 for Valerenga, 1.83 for Tromso), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Valerenga sit 10th on 29 points; Tromso are 5th on 40.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.