Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
88%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 24Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Intility Arena
Valerenga
8th · 32 pts3–1FULL TIME
Brann
7th · 32 pts40% Valerenga
22% Draw
38% Brann
OUR PICK
Valerenga to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.50
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.82
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.50X4.6122.61
Goals 2.5Over1.41Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.41NG3.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.41
GG
71%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
ValerengaBrann1.7Goals per game1.8
1.8Conceded per game1.7
1.28Points per game1.28
36%Win rate40%
-3Goal difference3
10Form, last 5 (pts)6
Valerenga form
WLWWLH Tromso4–0
A Sarpsborg 08 FF3–2
A Bodo/Glimt0–1
H Brann3–1
A KFUM Oslo2–1
Brann form
WWLWLH Molde3–2
A Grorud0–2
A Lillestrom3–2
A Kauno Žalgiris1–4
A Valerenga3–1
Head to head
2
Valerenga
0
Draw
3
Brann
Oct 2026Valerenga – Brann3–1
Jul 2026Brann – Valerenga2–3
Sept 2025Brann – Valerenga3–2
May 2025Valerenga – Brann2–4
Mar 2025Brann – Valerenga2–1
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Valerenga 40%, the draw 22%, Brann 38%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (1.86 for Valerenga, 1.82 for Brann), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Valerenga sit 8th on 32 points; Brann are 7th on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.