Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
ROULiga I · Matchday 15Friday, 6 November 2026 · Arena Francisc Neuman
Uta Arad
10th · 18 pts16:30KICK-OFF WAT
Petrolul Ploiesti
5th · 24 pts38% Uta
27% Draw
35% Petrolul
OUR PICK
Uta Arad to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.64
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.22
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.64X3.7022.85
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.84
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.97
GG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Uta AradPetrolul Ploiesti1.1Goals per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.29Points per game1.71
36%Win rate50%
-3Goal difference1
9Form, last 5 (pts)8
Uta Arad form
LDWWLA Dinamo Bucuresti2–0
H FC Botosani2–2
A Arges Pitesti0–1
H CFR 1907 Cluj1–0
A FC Botosani2–0
Petrolul Ploiesti form
DWWDLH CFR 1907 Cluj1–1
A Progresul Spartac0–6
A FC Botosani1–3
H Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1–1
A Farul Constanta3–1
Head to head
3
Uta
2
Draw
0
Petrolul
May 2026Petrolul Ploiesti – Uta Arad1–1
Dec 2025Uta Arad – Petrolul Ploiesti1–0
Oct 2025Uta Arad – Petrolul Ploiesti1–1
Aug 2025Petrolul Ploiesti – Uta Arad1–2
May 2025Uta Arad – Petrolul Ploiesti2–0
Liga I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti14+2233
2Universitatea Craiova14+2432
3Rapid14+1030
4Universitatea Cluj14+625
5Petrolul Ploiesti14+124
6Farul Constanta14+223
7FCSB14021
8Corvinul Hunedoara14019
9CFR 1907 Cluj14-118
10Uta Arad14-318
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Uta Arad 38%, the draw 27%, Petrolul Ploiesti 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.28 for Uta Arad, 1.22 for Petrolul Ploiesti), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Uta Arad sit 10th on 18 points; Petrolul Ploiesti are 5th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.