Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
ROULiga I · Matchday 12Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Arena Francisc Neuman
Uta Arad
10th · 18 pts1–0FULL TIME
CFR 1907 Cluj
9th · 18 pts39% Uta
25% Draw
36% CFR
OUR PICK
Uta Arad to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.57
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.57X4.0422.76
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
59%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Uta AradCFR 1907 Cluj1.1Goals per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game1.5
1.29Points per game1.29
36%Win rate36%
-3Goal difference-1
9Form, last 5 (pts)5
Uta Arad form
LDWWLA Dinamo Bucuresti2–0
H FC Botosani2–2
A Arges Pitesti0–1
H CFR 1907 Cluj1–0
A FC Botosani2–0
CFR 1907 Cluj form
DLDLWA Petrolul Ploiesti1–1
H Universitatea Cluj1–3
H Dinamo Bucuresti2–2
A Uta Arad1–0
A Arges Pitesti0–1
Head to head
2
Uta
1
Draw
2
CFR
Oct 2026Uta Arad – CFR 1907 Cluj1–0
Feb 2026Uta Arad – CFR 1907 Cluj0–1
Sept 2025CFR 1907 Cluj – Uta Arad1–1
Feb 2025Uta Arad – CFR 1907 Cluj1–4
Sept 2024CFR 1907 Cluj – Uta Arad1–3
Liga I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti14+2233
2Universitatea Craiova14+2432
3Rapid14+1030
4Petrolul Ploiesti14+124
5Universitatea Cluj13+522
6FCSB13+121
7Farul Constanta13+120
8Corvinul Hunedoara14019
9CFR 1907 Cluj14-118
10Uta Arad14-318
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Uta Arad 39%, the draw 25%, CFR 1907 Cluj 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.57 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.48 for Uta Arad, 1.42 for CFR 1907 Cluj), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Uta Arad sit 10th on 18 points; CFR 1907 Cluj are 9th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.