Over 1.5 goals@2.00
Over 1.5
50%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026
USM Alger
4th · 14 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
MC Alger
6th · 13 pts31% USM
34% Draw
35% MC
OUR PICK
MC Alger to win
Model probability 35% · fair odds
2.85
Expected goals
0.80 – 0.88
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.27X2.9222.85
Goals 2.5Over3.93Under1.31
Both scoreGG2.95NG1.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Under 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.48
NG
68%
Double chance@1.44
X2
69%
Season stats
USM AlgerMC Alger1.4Goals per game1.4
0.7Conceded per game0.2
2.00Points per game2.60
57%Win rate80%
5Goal difference6
10Form, last 5 (pts)13
USM Alger form
WDDA CS Constantine0–2
H Panthers0–0
H CR Belouizdad2–2
MC Alger form
WWWLH Khenchela2–0
A US Biskra0–1
H Enugu Rangers3–0
A Enugu Rangers2–0
Head to head
0
USM
1
Draw
4
MC
Apr 2026MC Alger – USM Alger1–0
Jan 2026MC Alger – USM Alger1–0
Aug 2025USM Alger – MC Alger0–0
May 2025MC Alger – USM Alger1–0
Jan 2025USM Alger – MC Alger0–3
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: USM Alger 31%, the draw 34%, MC Alger 35%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.85 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (0.80 for USM Alger, 0.88 for MC Alger), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
USM Alger sit 4th on 14 points; MC Alger are 6th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.