Over 1.5 goals@1.53
Over 1.5
65%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 7Saturday, 24 October 2026
USM Alger
3rd · 14 pts2–2FULL TIME
CR Belouizdad
4th · 14 pts47% USM
28% Draw
25% CR
OUR PICK
USM Alger to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.14
Expected goals
1.33 – 0.90
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.14X3.5723.95
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.63
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.77
NG
56%
Double chance@1.34
1X
75%
Season stats
USM AlgerCR Belouizdad1.4Goals per game1.8
0.7Conceded per game1.2
2.00Points per game2.33
57%Win rate67%
5Goal difference4
10Form, last 5 (pts)13
USM Alger form
WDDA CS Constantine0–2
H Panthers0–0
H CR Belouizdad2–2
CR Belouizdad form
DA USM Alger2–2
Head to head
0
USM
0
Draw
0
CR
These sides haven't met recently.
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1JS Kabylie7+816
2MC Oran7+515
3USM Alger7+514
4CR Belouizdad6+414
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8ES Setif7+28
9JS El Biar808
10Ben Aknoun708
Match preview
Our model makes USM Alger slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.14 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.33 for USM Alger, 0.90 for CR Belouizdad), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
USM Alger sit 3rd on 14 points; CR Belouizdad are 4th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.