Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
ROULiga I · Matchday 12Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
Universitatea Craiova
2nd · 32 pts2–0FULL TIME
Farul Constanta
6th · 23 pts72% Universitatea
16% Draw
12% Farul
OUR PICK
Universitatea Craiova to win
Model probability 72% · fair odds
1.39
Expected goals
2.62 – 1.00
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.39X6.2628.21
Goals 2.5Over1.43Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
59%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
Universitatea CraiovaFarul Constanta2.4Goals per game1.6
0.7Conceded per game1.5
2.29Points per game1.64
71%Win rate43%
24Goal difference2
15Form, last 5 (pts)9
Universitatea Craiova form
WDWWWH FC Botosani2–1
A FC Voluntari1–1
A Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe0–5
A Inter Club d'Escaldes1–3
H Farul Constanta2–0
Farul Constanta form
WWLWWA FC Voluntari1–2
H Oţelul4–3
A Universitatea Craiova2–0
H Petrolul Ploiesti3–1
H Popești-Leordeni2–1
Head to head
3
Universitatea
0
Draw
2
Farul
Oct 2026Universitatea Craiova – Farul Constanta2–0
Feb 2026Farul Constanta – Universitatea Craiova4–1
Sept 2025Universitatea Craiova – Farul Constanta2–0
Mar 2025Universitatea Craiova – Farul Constanta1–0
Oct 2024Farul Constanta – Universitatea Craiova3–2
Liga I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti14+2233
2Universitatea Craiova14+2432
3Rapid14+1030
4Universitatea Cluj14+625
5Petrolul Ploiesti14+124
6Farul Constanta14+223
7FCSB14021
8Corvinul Hunedoara14019
9CFR 1907 Cluj14-118
10Uta Arad14-318
Match preview
Our model makes Universitatea Craiova clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.62 for Universitatea Craiova, 1.00 for Farul Constanta), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Universitatea Craiova sit 2nd on 32 points; Farul Constanta are 6th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.