Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
Universitatea Craiova
11th · 4 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
20th · 2 pts51% Universitatea
24% Draw
24% Egnatia
OUR PICK
Universitatea Craiova to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.95
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.05
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.95X4.0824.14
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.32
1X
76%
Season stats
Universitatea CraiovaEgnatia Rrogozhinë2.0Goals per game1.0
1.0Conceded per game1.0
2.00Points per game1.00
50%Win rate0%
2Goal difference0
4Form, last 5 (pts)2
Universitatea Craiova form
WDWWWH FC Botosani2–1
A FC Voluntari1–1
A Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe0–5
A Inter Club d'Escaldes1–3
H Farul Constanta2–0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë form
WWLDWA Tirana1–2
H Teuta Durrës1–0
A Dinamo Tirana2–1
A Aarhus1–1
H Vllaznia Shkodër3–1
Head to head
0
Universitatea
0
Draw
0
Egnatia
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes Universitatea Craiova slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.95 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.65 for Universitatea Craiova, 1.05 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Universitatea Craiova sit 11th on 4 points; Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 20th on 2.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.