Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 27Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Estadio Ester Roa
Universidad de Concepcion
15th · 23 pts00:00KICK-OFF WAT
O'Higgins
12th · 31 pts28% Universidad
28% Draw
44% O'Higgins
OUR PICK
O'Higgins to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.30
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.63X3.5522.25
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.65
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.81
NG
55%
Double chance@1.38
X2
72%
Season stats
Universidad de ConcepcionO'Higgins0.7Goals per game1.2
1.8Conceded per game1.5
0.88Points per game1.19
23%Win rate35%
-28Goal difference-9
1Form, last 5 (pts)7
Universidad de Concepcion form
LLDLLA Colo Colo6–1
H Deportes Limache0–1
A Cobresal1–1
H Huachipato0–2
A Palestino2–1
O'Higgins form
WDLWWH Nublense1–0
H Cobresal1–1
A Huachipato2–0
H Concepción2–0
A Concepción0–1
Head to head
2
Universidad
2
Draw
1
O'Higgins
May 2026O'Higgins – Universidad de Concepcion0–1
Jan 2021O'Higgins – Universidad de Concepcion0–0
Sept 2020Universidad de Concepcion – O'Higgins1–4
Oct 2019O'Higgins – Universidad de Concepcion1–2
May 2019Universidad de Concepcion – O'Higgins1–1
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile26+2448
3U. Catolica26+1646
4Everton de Vina26+1040
5Palestino25+338
6Deportes Limache25+937
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Nublense26-935
9D. La Serena26-334
10Huachipato25-633
Match preview
Our model makes O'Higgins slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (0.96 for Universidad de Concepcion, 1.30 for O'Higgins), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Universidad de Concepcion sit 15th on 23 points; O'Higgins are 12th on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.