Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 25Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion
Universidad de Concepcion
15th · 23 pts0–1FULL TIME
Deportes Limache
6th · 37 pts18% Universidad
21% Draw
60% Deportes
OUR PICK
Deportes Limache to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
1.01 – 2.00
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.41X4.7121.66
Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.82NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.82
GG
55%
Double chance@1.23
X2
82%
Season stats
Universidad de ConcepcionDeportes Limache0.7Goals per game1.8
1.8Conceded per game1.5
0.88Points per game1.48
23%Win rate44%
-28Goal difference9
1Form, last 5 (pts)10
Universidad de Concepcion form
LLDLLA Colo Colo6–1
H Deportes Limache0–1
A Cobresal1–1
H Huachipato0–2
A Palestino2–1
Deportes Limache form
WDLWWA Universidad de Concepcion0–1
H Palestino2–2
A Union La Calera1–0
H Cobresal3–0
H Nublense2–0
Head to head
2
Universidad
0
Draw
2
Deportes
Oct 2026Universidad de Concepcion – Deportes Limache0–1
Apr 2026Deportes Limache – Universidad de Concepcion3–0
Aug 2024Universidad de Concepcion – Deportes Limache2–0
Mar 2024Deportes Limache – Universidad de Concepcion0–1
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile25+2548
3U. Catolica25+1543
4Everton de Vina25+1039
5Palestino25+338
6Deportes Limache25+937
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Nublense26-935
9D. La Serena25-333
10Concepción25-332
Match preview
Our model makes Deportes Limache clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.66 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.01 for Universidad de Concepcion, 2.00 for Deportes Limache), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Universidad de Concepcion sit 15th on 23 points; Deportes Limache are 6th on 37.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.