Over 1.5 goals@1.44
Over 1.5
69%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 25Monday, 26 October 2026 · Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos
Universidad de Chile
2nd · 48 pts4–1FULL TIME
Everton de Vina
4th · 39 pts52% Universidad
26% Draw
22% Everton
OUR PICK
Universidad de Chile to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.92
Expected goals
1.52 – 0.89
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.92X3.8624.53
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.85
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.85
NG
54%
Double chance@1.28
1X
78%
Season stats
Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina1.8Goals per game1.6
0.8Conceded per game1.2
1.92Points per game1.56
56%Win rate44%
25Goal difference10
12Form, last 5 (pts)9
Universidad de Chile form
WWLDWH Everton de Vina4–1
H Nublense6–0
A Antofagasta2–0
H Everton de Vina1–1
A Everton de Vina0–1
Everton de Vina form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Universidad
0
Draw
0
Everton
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile25+2548
3U. Catolica25+1543
4Everton de Vina25+1039
5Palestino25+338
6Deportes Limache25+937
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Nublense26-935
9D. La Serena25-333
10Concepción25-332
Match preview
Our model makes Universidad de Chile slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.92 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.52 for Universidad de Chile, 0.89 for Everton de Vina), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Universidad de Chile sit 2nd on 48 points; Everton de Vina are 4th on 39.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.