Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 27Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos
Universidad de Chile
2nd · 48 pts22:00KICK-OFF WAT
Cobresal
14th · 27 pts72% Universidad
17% Draw
11% Cobresal
OUR PICK
Universidad de Chile to win
Model probability 72% · fair odds
1.39
Expected goals
2.37 – 0.81
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.39X5.9029.06
Goals 2.5Over1.63Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.99NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.99
GG
50%
Double chance@1.12
1X
89%
Season stats
Universidad de ChileCobresal1.7Goals per game1.5
0.8Conceded per game1.8
1.85Points per game1.04
54%Win rate27%
24Goal difference-10
12Form, last 5 (pts)6
Universidad de Chile form
LWWLDA U. Catolica1–0
H Everton de Vina4–1
H Nublense6–0
A Antofagasta2–0
H Everton de Vina1–1
Cobresal form
DDDWLH Everton de Vina2–2
A O'Higgins1–1
H Universidad de Concepcion1–1
H Coquimbo Unido3–2
A Deportes Limache3–0
Head to head
0
Universidad
2
Draw
3
Cobresal
May 2026Cobresal – Universidad de Chile1–0
Aug 2025Universidad de Chile – Cobresal0–1
Mar 2025Cobresal – Universidad de Chile2–1
Jul 2024Cobresal – Universidad de Chile3–3
Mar 2024Universidad de Chile – Cobresal2–2
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile26+2448
3U. Catolica26+1646
4Deportes Limache26+1140
5Everton de Vina26+1040
6Palestino26+238
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Concepción26-235
9Nublense26-935
10D. La Serena26-334
Match preview
Our model makes Universidad de Chile clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (2.37 for Universidad de Chile, 0.81 for Cobresal), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Universidad de Chile sit 2nd on 48 points; Cobresal are 14th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.