BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Stade Joseph Marien

Union St. Gilloise

2nd · 26 pts

18:30KICK-OFF WAT

Genk

6th · 15 pts

73% Union

16% Draw

11% Genk

OUR PICK

Union St. Gilloise to win

Model probability 73% · fair odds

1.37

Expected goals

2.58 – 0.93

Confidence

Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.37X6.3028.78

Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95

Both scoreGG1.79NG2.14

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.16

Over 1.5

86%

Over/Under 2.5@1.47

Over 2.5

68%

Both teams to score@1.79

56%

Double chance@1.13

89%

Season stats

Union St. GilloiseGenk

2.9Goals per game1.8

0.7Conceded per game1.4

2.60Points per game1.50

80%Win rate40%

22Goal difference4

13Form, last 5 (pts)7

Union St. Gilloise form

WWWWD

A SK Beveren1–2

H Cercle Brugge5–2

H Hapoel Beer Sheva4–0

H Nijlen3–0

H Real Sociedad1–1

Genk form

LWWWL

A KV Mechelen1–0

H Standard Liege2–1

A Excelsior Virton0–2

H Kortrijk3–0

H Fortuna Sittard1–2

Head to head

Union

Draw

Genk

Mar 2026Union St. Gilloise – Genk2–1

Sept 2025Genk – Union St. Gilloise1–2

May 2025Union St. Gilloise – Genk1–0

Apr 2025Genk – Union St. Gilloise1–2

Mar 2025Genk – Union St. Gilloise2–1

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Club Brugge KV10+1827

2Union St. Gilloise10+2226

3Gent9+1525

4Charleroi9+621

5Anderlecht10+219

6Genk10+415

7KVC Westerlo10014

8Lommel United9012

9Standard Liege10-112

10Zulte Waregem10-411

Match preview

Our model makes Union St. Gilloise clear favourites, giving them a 73% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.37 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.58 for Union St. Gilloise, 0.93 for Genk), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Union St. Gilloise sit 2nd on 26 points; Genk are 6th on 15.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

Discuss on Telegram More Jupiler Pro League tips