Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
73%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 27Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Municipal Nicolas Chahuan
Union La Calera
16th · 21 pts22:00KICK-OFF WAT
Huachipato
11th · 33 pts32% Union
26% Draw
42% Huachipato
OUR PICK
Huachipato to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.40
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.39
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.14X3.7922.40
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.90
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.90
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Union La CaleraHuachipato0.9Goals per game1.4
1.7Conceded per game1.6
0.81Points per game1.32
19%Win rate36%
-20Goal difference-6
7Form, last 5 (pts)9
Union La Calera form
LWDDDA Coquimbo Unido1–0
H U. Catolica3–1
A Concepción1–1
A U. Catolica0–0
H U. Catolica1–1
Huachipato form
DDWWDH D. La Serena0–0
A A. Italiano1–1
H O'Higgins2–0
A Universidad de Concepcion0–2
H Colo Colo0–0
Head to head
3
Union
0
Draw
2
Huachipato
May 2026Huachipato – Union La Calera3–1
Aug 2025Huachipato – Union La Calera1–0
Mar 2025Union La Calera – Huachipato1–0
Jul 2024Union La Calera – Huachipato2–1
Feb 2024Huachipato – Union La Calera0–1
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile26+2448
3U. Catolica26+1646
4Deportes Limache26+1140
5Everton de Vina26+1040
6Palestino26+238
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Concepción26-235
9Nublense26-935
10D. La Serena26-334
Match preview
Our model makes Huachipato slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.18 for Union La Calera, 1.39 for Huachipato), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Union La Calera sit 16th on 21 points; Huachipato are 11th on 33.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.