Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 9Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
União de Leiria
7th · 14 pts2–1FULL TIME
AVS
8th · 12 pts41% União
27% Draw
32% AVS
OUR PICK
União de Leiria to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.46
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.13
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.46X3.6723.12
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.79
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
União de LeiriaAVS1.4Goals per game1.2
1.2Conceded per game1.1
1.56Points per game1.33
44%Win rate33%
2Goal difference1
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
União de Leiria form
No recent matches.
AVS form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
União
0
Draw
0
AVS
These sides haven't met recently.
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa8+718
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Academica8+415
6Farense8+414
7União de Leiria9+214
8AVS9+112
9Tondela8+112
10Portimonense9-411
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: União de Leiria 41%, the draw 27%, AVS 32%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.31 for União de Leiria, 1.13 for AVS), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
União de Leiria sit 7th on 14 points; AVS are 8th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.