Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
SOUK League 1 · Matchday 33Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2nd · 51 pts2–2FULL TIME
Pohang Steelers
9th · 42 pts53% Ulsan
25% Draw
22% Pohang
OUR PICK
Ulsan Hyundai FC to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.59 – 0.91
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.88X3.9824.64
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.84
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.27
1X
78%
Season stats
Ulsan Hyundai FCPohang Steelers1.6Goals per game0.9
1.4Conceded per game1.2
1.55Points per game1.27
45%Win rate33%
5Goal difference-9
7Form, last 5 (pts)6
Ulsan Hyundai FC form
WDWLLH Gangwon FC2–1
H Pohang Steelers2–2
H Bucheon FC 19952–1
A Gwangju FC4–3
A FC Anyang2–1
Pohang Steelers form
DLDDLH Jeju United FC1–1
A Kashima3–0
A Ulsan Hyundai FC2–2
H FC Anyang0–0
H Johor Darul Takzim FC0–2
Head to head
1
Ulsan
3
Draw
1
Pohang
Oct 2026Ulsan Hyundai FC – Pohang Steelers2–2
Aug 2026Pohang Steelers – Ulsan Hyundai FC0–2
May 2026Ulsan Hyundai FC – Pohang Steelers0–1
Sept 2025Pohang Steelers – Ulsan Hyundai FC1–1
May 2025Ulsan Hyundai FC – Pohang Steelers1–1
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes Ulsan Hyundai FC clear favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.59 for Ulsan Hyundai FC, 0.91 for Pohang Steelers), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ulsan Hyundai FC sit 2nd on 51 points; Pohang Steelers are 9th on 42.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.