Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
ITASerie A · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese
19th · 5 pts0–2FULL TIME
AC Milan
5th · 21 pts21% Udinese
19% Draw
59% AC
OUR PICKSolo pick of the day
Both teams to score
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
1.33 – 2.32
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.74X5.1421.68
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.51NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.51
GG
66%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
UdineseAC Milan1.1Goals per game2.1
2.3Conceded per game1.2
0.50Points per game2.10
10%Win rate60%
-12Goal difference9
1Form, last 5 (pts)10
Udinese form
LDLLLH AS Roma2–5
A Parma0–0
H AC Milan0–2
H Lecce0–3
A Torino2–1
AC Milan form
WLWLWH Inter3–1
H Bologna2–4
A Udinese0–2
A Bournemouth3–0
H Atalanta3–2
Head to head
1
Udinese
0
Draw
4
AC
Oct 2026Udinese – AC Milan0–2
Apr 2026AC Milan – Udinese0–3
Sept 2025Udinese – AC Milan0–3
Apr 2025Udinese – AC Milan0–4
Oct 2024AC Milan – Udinese1–0
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
Match preview
Our model makes AC Milan clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.68 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.33 for Udinese, 2.32 for AC Milan), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Udinese sit 19th on 5 points; AC Milan are 5th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.