Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 14Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Estadio Olímpico Universitario
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
10th · 20 pts1–1FULL TIME
Tigres UANL
15th · 15 pts52% U.N.A.M.
24% Draw
24% Tigres
OUR PICK
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.94
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.06
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.94X4.1124.15
Goals 2.5Over1.95Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.88NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.88
GG
53%
Double chance@1.32
1X
76%
Season stats
U.N.A.M. - PumasTigres UANL1.5Goals per game1.0
1.6Conceded per game1.5
1.33Points per game1.00
33%Win rate20%
-2Goal difference-7
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas form
WDLWDA Puebla1–2
H Tigres UANL1–1
A Santos Laguna2–0
A Atlante FC1–2
H Cruz Azul3–3
Tigres UANL form
LDLDWA CF Pachuca3–0
A U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1
H Leon0–2
A Guadalajara Chivas1–1
H Toluca3–2
Head to head
1
U.N.A.M.
2
Draw
2
Tigres
Oct 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Tigres UANL1–1
Jan 2026Tigres UANL – U.N.A.M. - Pumas0–1
Sept 2025U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Tigres UANL1–1
Apr 2025Tigres UANL – U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–1
Sept 2024U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Tigres UANL1–3
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.94 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.67 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 1.06 for Tigres UANL), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 10th on 20 points; Tigres UANL are 15th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.