Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 11Monday, 12 October 2026 · Estadio Olímpico Universitario
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
10th · 20 pts3–3FULL TIME
Cruz Azul
3rd · 29 pts33% U.N.A.M.
23% Draw
44% Cruz
OUR PICK
Cruz Azul to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.82
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.02X4.4322.26
Goals 2.5Over1.53Under2.70
Both scoreGG1.51NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.51
GG
66%
Double chance@1.29
12
77%
Season stats
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul1.5Goals per game2.3
1.6Conceded per game1.6
1.33Points per game1.93
33%Win rate60%
-2Goal difference10
8Form, last 5 (pts)13
U.N.A.M. - Pumas form
WDLWDA Puebla1–2
H Tigres UANL1–1
A Santos Laguna2–0
A Atlante FC1–2
H Cruz Azul3–3
Cruz Azul form
WWWWDH Leon2–1
A Club Queretaro1–3
A CF Pachuca1–2
H FC Juarez5–0
A U.N.A.M. - Pumas3–3
Head to head
1
U.N.A.M.
3
Draw
1
Cruz
Oct 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Cruz Azul3–3
May 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Cruz Azul1–2
May 2026Cruz Azul – U.N.A.M. - Pumas0–0
Mar 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Cruz Azul2–2
Nov 2025Cruz Azul – U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–3
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model makes Cruz Azul slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.55 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 1.82 for Cruz Azul), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 10th on 20 points; Cruz Azul are 3rd on 29.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.