Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 16Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Estadio Olímpico Universitario
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
9th · 20 pts04:00KICK-OFF WAT
Club America
1st · 29 pts29% U.N.A.M.
21% Draw
50% Club
OUR PICK
Club America to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
1.55 – 2.06
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.43X4.7022.02
Goals 2.5Over1.43Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.45NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.45
GG
69%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
U.N.A.M. - PumasClub America1.5Goals per game2.4
1.6Conceded per game1.4
1.33Points per game1.93
33%Win rate53%
-2Goal difference15
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
U.N.A.M. - Pumas form
WDLWDA Puebla1–2
H Tigres UANL1–1
A Santos Laguna2–0
A Atlante FC1–2
H Cruz Azul3–3
Club America form
DDLWWH Toluca2–2
H Club Tijuana1–1
H CF Pachuca1–2
A Atlas2–5
A Leon3–5
Head to head
1
U.N.A.M.
2
Draw
2
Club
May 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Club America3–3
May 2026Club America – U.N.A.M. - Pumas3–3
Mar 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Club America1–0
Sept 2025Club America – U.N.A.M. - Pumas4–1
Feb 2025U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Club America0–2
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Atlas15027
4Cruz Azul14+926
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon14+322
8Monterrey14+521
9U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
10Club Queretaro14-320
Match preview
Our model makes Club America slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.55 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 2.06 for Club America), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 9th on 20 points; Club America are 1st on 29.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.