Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
80%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 26Sunday, 1 November 2026 · San Carlos de Apoquindo
U. Catolica
3rd · 43 pts16:30KICK-OFF WAT
Universidad de Chile
2nd · 48 pts33% U.
24% Draw
43% Universidad
OUR PICK
Universidad de Chile to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.33
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.60
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.05X4.1222.33
Goals 2.5Over1.75Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.68NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.68
GG
60%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
U. CatolicaUniversidad de Chile2.1Goals per game1.8
1.5Conceded per game0.8
1.72Points per game1.92
52%Win rate56%
15Goal difference25
10Form, last 5 (pts)12
U. Catolica form
DLDDWH A. Italiano1–1
A Union La Calera3–1
H Union La Calera0–0
A Union La Calera1–1
A Palestino2–3
Universidad de Chile form
WWLDWH Everton de Vina4–1
H Nublense6–0
A Antofagasta2–0
H Everton de Vina1–1
A Everton de Vina0–1
Head to head
2
U.
0
Draw
3
Universidad
Apr 2026Universidad de Chile – U. Catolica1–0
Oct 2025U. Catolica – Universidad de Chile1–0
May 2025Universidad de Chile – U. Catolica1–0
Oct 2024U. Catolica – Universidad de Chile1–2
May 2024Universidad de Chile – U. Catolica1–2
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile25+2548
3U. Catolica25+1543
4Everton de Vina25+1039
5Palestino25+338
6Deportes Limache25+937
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Nublense26-935
9D. La Serena25-333
10Concepción25-332
Match preview
Our model makes Universidad de Chile slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.33 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.37 for U. Catolica, 1.60 for Universidad de Chile), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
U. Catolica sit 3rd on 43 points; Universidad de Chile are 2nd on 48.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.