Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 27Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Claro Arena
U. Catolica
3rd · 46 pts22:00KICK-OFF WAT
Deportes Limache
4th · 40 pts51% U.
21% Draw
28% Deportes
OUR PICK
U. Catolica to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.95
Expected goals
2.18 – 1.59
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.95X4.8623.55
Goals 2.5Over1.38Under3.49
Both scoreGG1.42NG3.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Over 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.42
GG
71%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
U. CatolicaDeportes Limache2.0Goals per game1.8
1.4Conceded per game1.4
1.77Points per game1.54
54%Win rate46%
16Goal difference11
10Form, last 5 (pts)10
U. Catolica form
WDLDDH Universidad de Chile1–0
H A. Italiano1–1
A Union La Calera3–1
H Union La Calera0–0
A Union La Calera1–1
Deportes Limache form
WWDLWH A. Italiano2–0
A Universidad de Concepcion0–1
H Palestino2–2
A Union La Calera1–0
H Cobresal3–0
Head to head
3
U.
0
Draw
0
Deportes
May 2026Deportes Limache – U. Catolica0–2
Sept 2025Deportes Limache – U. Catolica0–1
Apr 2025U. Catolica – Deportes Limache2–1
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile26+2448
3U. Catolica26+1646
4Deportes Limache26+1140
5Everton de Vina26+1040
6Palestino26+238
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Concepción26-235
9Nublense26-935
10D. La Serena26-334
Match preview
Our model makes U. Catolica slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.95 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.18 for U. Catolica, 1.59 for Deportes Limache), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
U. Catolica sit 3rd on 46 points; Deportes Limache are 4th on 40.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.