Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
AUTBundesliga · Matchday 10Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Profertil Arena
TSV Hartberg
5th · 17 pts1–0FULL TIME
Wolfsberger AC
12th · 6 pts66% TSV
19% Draw
16% Wolfsberger
OUR PICK
TSV Hartberg to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.52
Expected goals
2.31 – 1.04
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.52X5.3726.38
Goals 2.5Over1.54Under2.70
Both scoreGG1.72NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.72
GG
58%
Double chance@1.19
1X
84%
Season stats
TSV HartbergWolfsberger AC1.8Goals per game0.7
1.7Conceded per game1.8
1.55Points per game0.55
45%Win rate9%
1Goal difference-12
10Form, last 5 (pts)1
TSV Hartberg form
WDWLWA Grazer AK0–4
A Austria Vienna1–1
H Wolfsberger AC1–0
A Rapid Vienna3–1
H Austria Lustenau4–3
Wolfsberger AC form
DLLLLH Sturm Graz1–1
A WSPG Wels1–0
A TSV Hartberg1–0
H WSG Wattens0–2
A SCR Altach3–0
Head to head
2
TSV
1
Draw
2
Wolfsberger
Oct 2026TSV Hartberg – Wolfsberger AC1–0
Nov 2025Wolfsberger AC – TSV Hartberg1–2
Sept 2025TSV Hartberg – Wolfsberger AC2–2
May 2025Wolfsberger AC – TSV Hartberg1–0
Mar 2025TSV Hartberg – Wolfsberger AC0–3
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rapid Vienna11+2430
2Red Bull Salzburg11+2327
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz11+619
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau11-168
Match preview
Our model makes TSV Hartberg clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.31 for TSV Hartberg, 1.04 for Wolfsberger AC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
TSV Hartberg sit 5th on 17 points; Wolfsberger AC are 12th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.