Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 24Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Alfheim
Tromso
6th · 40 pts1–1FULL TIME
KFUM Oslo
10th · 31 pts57% Tromso
22% Draw
22% KFUM
OUR PICK
Tromso to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.14
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.76X4.6224.64
Goals 2.5Over1.66Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
59%
Double chance@1.27
1X
78%
Season stats
TromsoKFUM Oslo1.7Goals per game1.3
1.5Conceded per game1.6
1.60Points per game1.24
44%Win rate32%
5Goal difference-9
5Form, last 5 (pts)9
Tromso form
LWLDDA Valerenga4–0
H Haugesund3–2
A Viking3–1
H KFUM Oslo1–1
A Fredrikstad1–1
KFUM Oslo form
DDDWWH Ham-Kam2–2
A Kristiansund BK2–2
A Tromso1–1
H Valerenga2–1
A Hønefoss0–2
Head to head
0
Tromso
0
Draw
0
KFUM
These sides haven't met recently.
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model makes Tromso clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.98 for Tromso, 1.14 for KFUM Oslo), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tromso sit 6th on 40 points; KFUM Oslo are 10th on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.