Over 1.5 goals@1.72
Over 1.5
58%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 32Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Gibbo Stadium
Triangle United
16th · 27 pts2–0FULL TIME
Simba Bhora
11th · 39 pts27% Triangle
31% Draw
42% Simba
OUR PICK
Simba Bhora to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.37
Expected goals
0.83 – 1.12
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.71X3.2422.37
Goals 2.5Over3.04Under1.45
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.61
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Under 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.61
NG
62%
Double chance@1.37
X2
73%
Season stats
Triangle UnitedSimba Bhora0.7Goals per game1.0
1.2Conceded per game1.0
0.84Points per game1.22
19%Win rate28%
-15Goal difference-2
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Triangle United form
WLDWDH Simba Bhora2–0
A MWOS3–0
H Dynamos1–1
A Bulawayo Chiefs1–2
H Highlanders0–0
Simba Bhora form
LWDLDA Triangle United2–0
H Herentals2–1
A CAPS United0–0
H Chicken Inn1–2
A Kariba0–0
Head to head
1
Triangle
3
Draw
1
Simba
Oct 2026Triangle United – Simba Bhora2–0
May 2026Simba Bhora – Triangle United1–1
Oct 2025Triangle United – Simba Bhora0–0
May 2025Simba Bhora – Triangle United4–0
Oct 2023Triangle United – Simba Bhora1–1
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model makes Simba Bhora slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.37 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (0.83 for Triangle United, 1.12 for Simba Bhora), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Triangle United sit 16th on 27 points; Simba Bhora are 11th on 39.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.