Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Prenton Park
Tranmere
11th · 19 pts3–1FULL TIME
Cheltenham
5th · 21 pts51% Tranmere
22% Draw
26% Cheltenham
OUR PICK
Tranmere to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.94
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.30
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.94X4.4723.82
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.62NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.62
GG
62%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
TranmereCheltenham1.4Goals per game1.6
1.2Conceded per game1.8
1.36Points per game1.50
29%Win rate43%
2Goal difference-2
8Form, last 5 (pts)6
Tranmere form
No recent matches.
Cheltenham form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Tranmere
0
Draw
0
Cheltenham
These sides haven't met recently.
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model makes Tranmere slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.94 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.90 for Tranmere, 1.30 for Cheltenham), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tranmere sit 11th on 19 points; Cheltenham are 5th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.