Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
82%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Prenton Park
Tranmere
11th · 19 pts1–2FULL TIME
Barnet
2nd · 26 pts39% Tranmere
24% Draw
37% Barnet
OUR PICK
Tranmere to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.56
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.56
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.56X4.2422.68
Goals 2.5Over1.64Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.59NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.59
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
TranmereBarnet1.4Goals per game2.2
1.2Conceded per game1.4
1.36Points per game2.00
29%Win rate54%
2Goal difference10
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
Tranmere form
WDWLDH Cheltenham3–1
A Crawley Town1–1
A Northampton0–1
H Barnet1–2
H Rochdale1–1
Barnet form
DWDLWA Crewe1–1
H York3–1
H Oldham1–1
H Swindon Town1–3
A Tranmere1–2
Head to head
0
Tranmere
0
Draw
3
Barnet
Oct 2026Tranmere – Barnet1–2
Jan 2026Barnet – Tranmere1–0
Oct 2025Tranmere – Barnet0–2
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Tranmere 39%, the draw 24%, Barnet 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.60 for Tranmere, 1.56 for Barnet), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tranmere sit 11th on 19 points; Barnet are 2nd on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.