Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor
4th · 6 pts18:45KICK-OFF WAT
SC Freiburg
18th · 3 pts70% Trabzonspor
16% Draw
14% SC
OUR PICK
Trabzonspor to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.43
Expected goals
2.74 – 1.19
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.43X6.2327.03
Goals 2.5Over1.33Under3.77
Both scoreGG1.54NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Over 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.54
GG
65%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
TrabzonsporSC Freiburg3.0Goals per game1.5
1.0Conceded per game2.5
3.00Points per game1.50
100%Win rate50%
4Goal difference-2
6Form, last 5 (pts)3
Trabzonspor form
WWWWWH Gaziantep FK2–0
A Rizespor3–4
H Heart Of Midlothian2–0
H Beşiktaş2–0
A KuPS2–4
SC Freiburg form
WWLLLA FC Augsburg1–2
H VfL Wolfsburg3–2
H Bayern München1–3
A Monaco3–0
A Bayer Leverkusen2–1
Head to head
0
Trabzonspor
0
Draw
0
SC
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes Trabzonspor clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.74 for Trabzonspor, 1.19 for SC Freiburg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Trabzonspor sit 4th on 6 points; SC Freiburg are 18th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.