Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 8Monday, 19 October 2026 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor
3rd · 22 pts2–0FULL TIME
Beşiktaş
4th · 19 pts54% Trabzonspor
22% Draw
25% Beşiktaş
OUR PICK
Trabzonspor to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.29
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.86X4.6024.06
Goals 2.5Over1.57Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
63%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
TrabzonsporBeşiktaş2.4Goals per game2.0
0.8Conceded per game1.2
2.20Points per game1.90
70%Win rate60%
16Goal difference8
15Form, last 5 (pts)7
Trabzonspor form
WWWWWH Gaziantep FK2–0
A Rizespor3–4
H Heart Of Midlothian2–0
H Beşiktaş2–0
A KuPS2–4
Beşiktaş form
DWDLWA Kasımpaşa2–2
H Başakşehir2–0
H Crystal Palace2–2
A Trabzonspor2–0
A 1899 Hoffenheim2–3
Head to head
2
Trabzonspor
2
Draw
1
Beşiktaş
Oct 2026Trabzonspor – Beşiktaş2–0
May 2026Beşiktaş – Trabzonspor1–2
Dec 2025Trabzonspor – Beşiktaş3–3
Feb 2025Beşiktaş – Trabzonspor2–1
Sept 2024Trabzonspor – Beşiktaş1–1
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Trabzonspor slight favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.86 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.99 for Trabzonspor, 1.29 for Beşiktaş), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Trabzonspor sit 3rd on 22 points; Beşiktaş are 4th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.