Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
89%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 23Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Reknesbanen
Træff
7th · 38 pts1–0FULL TIME
Sandviken
11th · 27 pts54% Træff
20% Draw
26% Sandviken
OUR PICK
Træff to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
2.22 – 1.50
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.86X4.9223.88
Goals 2.5Over1.39Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.44NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.44
GG
69%
Double chance@1.26
12
80%
Season stats
TræffSandviken1.7Goals per game1.3
2.0Conceded per game1.9
1.46Points per game1.04
38%Win rate27%
-6Goal difference-15
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Træff form
WDDWLA Brattvåg4–5
H Arendal0–0
A Lysekloster3–3
H Sandviken1–0
A Mjondalen4–0
Sandviken form
DDLLWH Bjarg0–0
A Pors Grenland0–0
H Mjondalen1–3
A Træff1–0
H Arendal1–0
Head to head
3
Træff
0
Draw
1
Sandviken
Oct 2026Træff – Sandviken1–0
May 2026Sandviken – Træff4–2
Oct 2025Træff – Sandviken1–0
Jun 2025Sandviken – Træff1–2
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model makes Træff slight favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.86 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.22 for Træff, 1.50 for Sandviken), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Træff sit 7th on 38 points; Sandviken are 11th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.