Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 25Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Reknesbanen
Træff
7th · 38 pts0–0FULL TIME
Arendal
9th · 31 pts48% Træff
22% Draw
30% Arendal
OUR PICK
Træff to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.57
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.08X4.6423.29
Goals 2.5Over1.44Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.46NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.46
GG
69%
Double chance@1.27
12
78%
Season stats
TræffArendal1.7Goals per game1.4
2.0Conceded per game1.6
1.46Points per game1.19
38%Win rate31%
-6Goal difference-6
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Træff form
WDDWLA Brattvåg4–5
H Arendal0–0
A Lysekloster3–3
H Sandviken1–0
A Mjondalen4–0
Arendal form
LDWDLH Mjondalen1–2
A Træff0–0
H Eik-Tønsberg3–0
A jerv2–2
A Sandviken1–0
Head to head
0
Træff
2
Draw
3
Arendal
Oct 2026Træff – Arendal0–0
Jun 2026Arendal – Træff3–1
Sept 2025Træff – Arendal1–1
Apr 2025Arendal – Træff1–0
Oct 2023Arendal – Træff4–0
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model makes Træff slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.01 for Træff, 1.57 for Arendal), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Træff sit 7th on 38 points; Arendal are 9th on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.