Over 1.5 goals@1.56
Over 1.5
64%
ENGPremier League · Matchday 7Monday, 19 October 2026 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham
8th · 12 pts3–1FULL TIME
Coventry
16th · 9 pts47% Tottenham
28% Draw
25% Coventry
OUR PICKSolo pick of the day
Over 1.5
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.88
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.15X3.5323.99
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.60
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.75
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.60
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.75
NG
57%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Season stats
TottenhamCoventry1.1Goals per game1.0
1.1Conceded per game1.8
1.33Points per game1.00
33%Win rate33%
0Goal difference-7
10Form, last 5 (pts)9
Tottenham form
WWWDLH Crystal Palace2–0
A Chelsea0–2
H Coventry3–1
A Manchester United1–1
H Aston Villa2–3
Coventry form
WLLWWH Sunderland3–1
H Fulham0–1
A Tottenham3–1
H Newcastle4–1
A Nottingham Forest0–1
Head to head
3
Tottenham
0
Draw
0
Coventry
Oct 2026Tottenham – Coventry3–1
Sept 2024Coventry – Tottenham1–2
Jan 2013Tottenham – Coventry3–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Bournemouth9+112
8Tottenham9012
9Aston Villa9-312
10Hull City9+111
Match preview
Our model makes Tottenham slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.15 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.31 for Tottenham, 0.88 for Coventry), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tottenham sit 8th on 12 points; Coventry are 16th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.