Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Torreense
28th · 3 pts1–2FULL TIME
Sunderland
9th · 7 pts34% Torreense
25% Draw
41% Sunderland
OUR PICK
Sunderland to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.45
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.47
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.94X3.9622.45
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.77NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.77
GG
56%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
TorreenseSunderland1.3Goals per game1.3
2.3Conceded per game0.7
1.00Points per game2.33
33%Win rate67%
-3Goal difference2
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Torreense form
DWLLLA Portimonense0–0
H Amarante1–0
A Ferencvarosi TC4–1
H Sunderland1–2
A Tondela1–0
Sunderland form
LWDDLA Coventry3–1
H Brentford3–2
H Leeds0–0
A Lech Poznan1–1
A Bournemouth2–0
Head to head
0
Torreense
0
Draw
1
Sunderland
Oct 2026Torreense – Sunderland1–2
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Torreense 34%, the draw 25%, Sunderland 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.32 for Torreense, 1.47 for Sunderland), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Torreense sit 28th on 3 points; Sunderland are 9th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.