Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Torreense
28th · 3 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
Ararat-Armenia
36th · 0 pts66% Torreense
17% Draw
17% Ararat-Armenia
OUR PICK
Torreense to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.52
Expected goals
2.59 – 1.27
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.52X5.7525.89
Goals 2.5Over1.35Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.50NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.50
GG
67%
Double chance@1.20
1X
83%
Season stats
TorreenseArarat-Armenia1.3Goals per game0.7
2.3Conceded per game3.7
1.00Points per game0.00
33%Win rate0%
-3Goal difference-9
3Form, last 5 (pts)0
Torreense form
DWLLLA Portimonense0–0
H Amarante1–0
A Ferencvarosi TC4–1
H Sunderland1–2
A Tondela1–0
Ararat-Armenia form
WWWLWH Gandzasar3–0
A Olympia Yerevan1–4
H FC Noah2–1
H AZ Alkmaar0–4
A BKMA0–1
Head to head
0
Torreense
0
Draw
0
Ararat-Armenia
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model makes Torreense clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.59 for Torreense, 1.27 for Ararat-Armenia), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Torreense sit 28th on 3 points; Ararat-Armenia are 36th on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.