Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
ITASerie A · Matchday 6Monday, 12 October 2026 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino
10th · 13 pts2–1FULL TIME
Udinese
19th · 5 pts59% Torino
21% Draw
21% Udinese
OUR PICK
Torino to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.16
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.70X4.8124.87
Goals 2.5Over1.59Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.66NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.66
GG
60%
Double chance@1.26
1X
79%
Season stats
TorinoUdinese1.4Goals per game1.1
1.6Conceded per game2.3
1.30Points per game0.50
40%Win rate10%
-2Goal difference-12
9Form, last 5 (pts)1
Torino form
LLWWWA Frosinone2–0
H Como1–3
H Monza3–2
A Parma0–3
H Udinese2–1
Udinese form
LDLLLH AS Roma2–5
A Parma0–0
H AC Milan0–2
H Lecce0–3
A Torino2–1
Head to head
2
Torino
1
Draw
2
Udinese
Oct 2026Torino – Udinese2–1
May 2026Udinese – Torino2–0
Jan 2026Torino – Udinese1–2
Apr 2025Torino – Udinese2–0
Dec 2024Udinese – Torino2–2
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
Match preview
Our model makes Torino clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (2.09 for Torino, 1.16 for Udinese), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Torino sit 10th on 13 points; Udinese are 19th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.