ITASerie A · Matchday 8Friday, 23 October 2026 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino

10th · 13 pts
3–2FULL TIME

Monza

18th · 7 pts
50% Torino
22% Draw
28% Monza
OUR PICKSolo pick of the day
Over 2.5
Model probability 67% · fair odds
1.50
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.45
Confidence
Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X212.00X4.5923.54
Goals 2.5Over1.50Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.52NG2.77

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
86%
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.52
GG
66%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%

Season stats

TorinoMonza
1.4Goals per game1.7
1.6Conceded per game2.4
1.30Points per game0.70
40%Win rate20%
-2Goal difference-7
9Form, last 5 (pts)3

Torino form

LLWWW
A Frosinone2–0
H Como1–3
H Monza3–2
A Parma0–3
H Udinese2–1

Monza form

LLLWL
A Bologna2–1
H Napoli1–4
A Torino3–2
H Cagliari4–0
A Lazio3–1

Head to head

3
Torino
1
Draw
1
Monza
Oct 2026Torino – Monza3–2
Sept 2026Torino – Monza0–1
Mar 2025Monza – Torino0–2
Nov 2024Torino – Monza1–1
Mar 2024Torino – Monza1–0

Serie A table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213

Match preview

Our model makes Torino slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.98 for Torino, 1.45 for Monza), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Torino sit 10th on 13 points; Monza are 18th on 7.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.