Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
ITASerie A · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Stadio Olimpico di Torino
Torino
10th · 13 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Lecce
14th · 9 pts58% Torino
21% Draw
21% Lecce
OUR PICK
Torino to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.11
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.73X4.6624.85
Goals 2.5Over1.67Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.67
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.26
1X
79%
Season stats
TorinoLecce1.4Goals per game1.1
1.6Conceded per game2.1
1.30Points per game0.90
40%Win rate30%
-2Goal difference-10
9Form, last 5 (pts)3
Torino form
LLWWWA Frosinone2–0
H Como1–3
H Monza3–2
A Parma0–3
H Udinese2–1
Lecce form
LLLWLH Genoa1–2
A Frosinone5–1
H Juventus0–2
A Udinese0–3
H Bologna1–2
Head to head
2
Torino
1
Draw
2
Lecce
Feb 2026Torino – Lecce1–0
Nov 2025Lecce – Torino2–1
May 2025Lecce – Torino1–0
Sept 2024Torino – Lecce0–0
Feb 2024Torino – Lecce2–0
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
Match preview
Our model makes Torino clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (2.00 for Torino, 1.11 for Lecce), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Torino sit 10th on 13 points; Lecce are 14th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.