Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
ITASerie A · Matchday 9Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino
10th · 13 pts1–3FULL TIME
Como
4th · 23 pts29% Torino
27% Draw
44% Como
OUR PICK
Como to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.29
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.38
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.40X3.7222.29
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.80
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
TorinoComo1.4Goals per game1.8
1.6Conceded per game0.8
1.30Points per game2.30
40%Win rate70%
-2Goal difference10
9Form, last 5 (pts)13
Torino form
LLWWWA Frosinone2–0
H Como1–3
H Monza3–2
A Parma0–3
H Udinese2–1
Como form
WWWWWH Venezia1–0
A Torino1–3
H Sassuolo2–0
H Manchester United4–1
A Fiorentina1–3
Head to head
1
Torino
0
Draw
4
Como
Oct 2026Torino – Como1–3
Jan 2026Como – Torino6–0
Nov 2025Torino – Como1–5
Apr 2025Como – Torino1–0
Oct 2024Torino – Como1–0
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Napoli9+614
8Bologna10+114
9Juventus9+114
10Torino10-213
Match preview
Our model makes Como slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.08 for Torino, 1.38 for Como), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Torino sit 10th on 13 points; Como are 4th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.