Over 1.5 goals@1.63
Over 1.5
62%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 12Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Pocarisweat Stadium
Tokushima Vortis
14th · 17 pts0–1FULL TIME
Vanraure Hachinohe
17th · 14 pts55% Tokushima
27% Draw
17% Vanraure
OUR PICK
Tokushima Vortis to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.66
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.80X3.6725.77
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.53
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.58
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.58
NG
63%
Double chance@1.21
1X
83%
Season stats
Tokushima VortisVanraure Hachinohe0.8Goals per game0.8
1.0Conceded per game1.7
1.21Points per game1.00
36%Win rate29%
-3Goal difference-13
4Form, last 5 (pts)4
Tokushima Vortis form
LWLDLH Yokohama FC0–1
A Fujieda MYFC0–1
H Vanraure Hachinohe0–1
A Vegalta Sendai0–0
H Imabari1–2
Vanraure Hachinohe form
LLWDLH Montedio Yamagata1–2
A Sagan Tosu2–0
A Tokushima Vortis0–1
A Imabari3–3
A Omiya Ardija3–1
Head to head
0
Tokushima
0
Draw
1
Vanraure
Oct 2026Tokushima Vortis – Vanraure Hachinohe0–1
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Tokushima Vortis clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.42 for Tokushima Vortis, 0.66 for Vanraure Hachinohe), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tokushima Vortis sit 14th on 17 points; Vanraure Hachinohe are 17th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.