Over 1.5 goals@1.54
Over 1.5
65%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Pocarisweat Stadium
Tokushima Vortis
14th · 17 pts1–2FULL TIME
Imabari
19th · 12 pts52% Tokushima
27% Draw
21% Imabari
OUR PICK
Tokushima Vortis to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.92
Expected goals
1.43 – 0.79
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.92X3.6924.82
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.62
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.71
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.71
NG
58%
Double chance@1.26
1X
79%
Season stats
Tokushima VortisImabari0.8Goals per game1.1
1.0Conceded per game1.9
1.21Points per game0.86
36%Win rate21%
-3Goal difference-11
4Form, last 5 (pts)5
Tokushima Vortis form
LWLDLH Yokohama FC0–1
A Fujieda MYFC0–1
H Vanraure Hachinohe0–1
A Vegalta Sendai0–0
H Imabari1–2
Imabari form
DLLDWH Ventforet Kofu1–1
A Blaublitz Akita1–0
A Vegalta Sendai3–1
H Vanraure Hachinohe3–3
A Tokushima Vortis1–2
Head to head
2
Tokushima
1
Draw
2
Imabari
Oct 2026Tokushima Vortis – Imabari1–2
May 2026Tokushima Vortis – Imabari1–1
Mar 2026Imabari – Tokushima Vortis2–1
Oct 2025Tokushima Vortis – Imabari1–0
May 2025Imabari – Tokushima Vortis0–1
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Tokushima Vortis clear favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.92 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.43 for Tokushima Vortis, 0.79 for Imabari), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tokushima Vortis sit 14th on 17 points; Imabari are 19th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.