Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · City Football Station
Tochigi City
18th · 12 pts1–1FULL TIME
Yokohama FC
4th · 25 pts28% Tochigi
21% Draw
51% Yokohama
OUR PICK
Yokohama FC to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.95
Expected goals
1.53 – 2.12
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.59X4.7821.95
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.45NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.45
GG
69%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
Tochigi CityYokohama FC1.5Goals per game1.9
1.8Conceded per game1.1
0.86Points per game1.79
21%Win rate50%
-4Goal difference10
2Form, last 5 (pts)8
Tochigi City form
LLDDLH Iwaki1–3
A Shonan Bellmare2–1
H Fujieda MYFC2–2
H Yokohama FC1–1
A Ventforet Kofu2–1
Yokohama FC form
WDWDLA Tokushima Vortis0–1
A Omiya Ardija2–2
A Ventforet Kofu0–3
A Tochigi City1–1
H Urawa0–4
Head to head
0
Tochigi
0
Draw
0
Yokohama
These sides haven't met recently.
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Yokohama FC slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.95 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (1.53 for Tochigi City, 2.12 for Yokohama FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Tochigi City sit 18th on 12 points; Yokohama FC are 4th on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.